The news of the US stock market was delivered before the market. ① The three major stock index futures of the US stock market fell, and the market focused on PPI data. ② As of press time, Dow futures fell 0.19%, S&P 500 futures fell 0.18%, and Nasdaq futures fell 0.27%. (3) Germany's DAX index rose by 0.06%, Britain's FTSE 100 index rose by 0.11%, France's CAC40 index fell by 0.04% and Europe's Stoxx 50 index fell by 0.03%. ④WTI crude oil fell 0.06% to 70.25 USD/barrel. Brent crude oil fell 0.07% to $73.47/barrel. ⑤ American finance is under great pressure, with a budget deficit of $366.8 billion in November, up 17% year-on-year. ⑥ ING is bearish on the prospect of commodities next year, and gold is expected to outshine others. ⑦ Macy's department store fell 8.2% before the market, and the company lowered its profit outlook after discovering accounting errors. 8 Broadcom's share price rose by 4.3% before the market closed. In the news, Apple may cooperate with Broadcom to develop AI server chips. 9 ⑨Adobe's U.S. stocks fell by about 9% before the market, and the company's annual performance guidance was worse than expected.Analyst: The interest rate of the European Central Bank will be pushed to the low end of the neutral range. Marchel Alexandrovich, an economist at Saltmarsh Economics, said that the European Central Bank cut interest rates by 25 basis points again, which is the fourth time in this easing cycle. The monetary policy statement reiterated that the Committee would not commit to a specific interest rate path in advance. However, the new forecast shows that the core inflation rate is 1.9% in 2026 and 2027, which indicates that interest rates may continue to push to the low end of the neutral range.On December 11th, it was reported that the U.S. government was divided over the U.S. steel acquisition, and Biden considered blocking the transaction. It was reported that the U.S. Department of Defense, the Ministry of Finance and the State Council all believed that the Japanese Steel Company's $15 billion acquisition of American steel companies would not bring national security risks, but U.S. President Biden was expected to block the transaction. Earlier, some media quoted people familiar with the matter as saying that Biden planned to block the acquisition of American steel companies later this month on the grounds of national security. The Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States has been reviewing the proposed acquisition for most of this year, and the group must submit its decision to Biden before December 22 or 23.
Market news: Brazilian President Lula should be able to leave the hospital early next week.The Israeli army launched several rounds of air strikes on many places in Gaza, resulting in 37 deaths. On December 12, local time, the reporter of the General Station was informed that the Israeli army launched several rounds of air strikes on Gaza City in the north, Nuseilet refugee camp in the middle and Khan Younis in the south of the Gaza since the early morning of that day, which has caused 37 deaths. At present, the Israeli side has not issued a statement on related events. (CCTV News)India imported 841,993 tons of palm oil in November, compared with 845,682 tons in October.
ECB: Financing conditions are relaxing, ECB: Financing conditions are relaxing. However, because monetary policy is still restrictive and past interest rate hikes are still being transmitted to the credit stock, financing conditions are still tightening. Inflation prospect, core inflation and its transmission will determine the interest rate path.Traders' interest rate expectations for the European Central Bank remain stable: it is expected to cut interest rates by 127 basis points in 2025.ECB: Domestic inflation has dropped slightly, but it is still at a high level. ECB: Staff now expect the economic recovery to be slower than predicted in September. As time goes on, the influence of restrictive monetary policy gradually fades, which should support the recovery of domestic demand. Domestic inflation has declined slightly, but it is still at a high level, mainly because wages and prices in some industries are still being adjusted to adapt to the past inflation surge.
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide
12-14